Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 90.358965 100.736990 111.321820 122.894576 135.161290 147.747527 161.608987
2025-03-09 74.727680 89.726271 105.667264 123.749031 143.572015 164.533844 188.267911
2025-03-16 63.787259 81.164011 100.221766 122.425853 147.349023 174.245924 205.256625
2025-03-23 57.181042 76.497224 98.252474 124.160191 153.789112 186.270828 224.236113
2025-03-30 52.081288 72.941959 97.003907 126.210036 160.145594 197.838018 242.388664
2025-04-06 46.281814 68.000059 93.672277 125.431246 162.908653 205.058803 255.405317
2025-04-13 40.330094 62.362475 89.082402 122.782932 163.167884 209.145534 264.622043
2025-04-20 38.297860 61.469160 90.091837 126.683672 170.998336 221.867179 283.660796
2025-04-27 35.824618 59.789056 89.958806 129.059166 176.911136 232.286731 299.997830
2025-05-04 32.280349 56.415785 87.478418 128.365419 178.993220 238.105699 310.905196
2025-05-11 28.938635 53.063454 84.821059 127.275153 180.450212 243.074450 320.728872
2025-05-18 26.681434 51.058126 83.786305 128.120044 184.187160 250.691291 333.622264
2025-05-25 24.174790 48.545579 81.989782 127.947860 186.670573 256.852620 344.887129
2025-06-01 22.205636 46.681622 80.963645 128.693752 190.247432 264.308222 357.691733
2025-06-08 19.732298 43.845221 78.447651 127.360067 191.107389 268.390116 366.403588
2025-06-15 18.449119 42.772677 78.320181 129.132453 195.864360 277.205932 380.794529
2025-06-22 17.366155 41.936390 78.468633 131.231619 201.012688 286.491697 395.756645
2025-06-29 15.551035 39.732344 76.538523 130.434251 202.372444 291.061528 404.978561
2025-07-06 13.397816 36.739102 73.300134 127.722747 201.152130 292.355995 410.155468
2025-07-13 13.098247 37.010474 74.915164 131.716394 208.688480 304.576936 428.700087
2025-07-20 12.441125 36.572878 75.424749 134.147906 214.165963 314.224981 444.107462
2025-07-27 11.112574 34.756462 73.743021 133.437842 215.453058 318.581769 452.997398
2025-08-03 9.811700 32.851574 71.828029 132.321862 216.144706 322.147858 460.885104